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Back to strategic patience
Jul. 19th, 2018 12:36 pmDonald Trump says there is 'no time limit' for North Korea to denuclearise
Привет трампистам, которые предсказывали две недели, два месяца, полгода до безъядерной Северной Кореи.
Приведу комментарии эксперта. Не Ланькова, а Robert E Kelly:
По этому поводу Часовщик запостил следующую запись, привожу ее полностью, благо она небольшая:
Moving on. Еще рассуждения Robert E Kelly:
Привет трампистам, которые предсказывали две недели, два месяца, полгода до безъядерной Северной Кореи.
Приведу комментарии эксперта. Не Ланькова, а Robert E Kelly:
Trump: There’s no time limit for N Korean denuclearization. I.e., the last 5 mos & all that big talk of CVID, a Nobel, this time is different, nuclear threat is over, etc was just another Trump snow-job. Good grief. Why do we even listen to this guy anymore?Интересно напомнить, что еще до саммита Трамп-Ын Иглесиас написал статью, содержание которой понятно из ее заголовка, -- "Why did anyone ever take Trump’s North Korea diplomacy seriously?"
По этому поводу Часовщик запостил следующую запись, привожу ее полностью, благо она небольшая:
Иглесиас на Воксе, в полном отчаянии:Возможно, теперь Часовщик и его комментаторы признают, что Иглесиас был прав в своем скептицизме, и дело тут не в батхерте, истерике, TDS и т.п., а в объективном взгляде на Трампа. Right...Why are we taking Donald Trump’s Korea diplomacy seriously?(c уважением) Вот это, я понимаю, BUTTHURT. Вот это вставило человеку. Даже по нынешним временам, когда баттхерт является практически официальной политической платформой Демократической партии, все равно впечатляет.
All he does is lie and break promises. This will be no different.
Donald Trump is a liar. More than that, he’s a fraud. Not just a person who makes factual misstatements but a person who has gotten ahead in life through extensive use of bullshit, leaving in his wake a trail of broken promises.
<...>
Instead of talking about these risks, however, the mainstream press — Time, the New York Times, CNN, etc. — seems obsessed with the possibility that maybe Trump will deliver a historic diplomatic breakthrough with Pyongyang and then not receive the level of credit and adulation he deserves.
Moving on. Еще рассуждения Robert E Kelly:
I know McFaul & Russia are huge right now, but this should not slip below the waves: Trump basically just admitted that we are back to Obama's strategic patience on N Korea.
So all the threats of last year and sucking-up of this year didn't work, as so many predicted, and Obama's path, which Trump claimed would lead us to a war killing 50 million people, is where Trump has now defaulted back to.
Naturally he won't admit that, and the MIA returns are good. But basically, we're back to containment and deterrence, sanctions and isolation, until maybe, the South Korean detente effort works. But that will take a decade or more on nukes, and Pyongyang certainly won't give up everything, although maybe we can cap them at their current arsenal if we're lucky.
So if there is "no rush," that means we are adapting to a North Korean nuclear weapons state, which is also what many predicted, but Trump and his war cabinet said we could never do.
All this was entirely predictable; speaks well of Obama's post-Leap Day Deal, don't-deal-with-them-unless-they're-serious approach; and demonstrates yet again that Trump got rolled in Singapore.
Kim Jong Un got the optics, legitimation, and milex, and Trump got "We have no time limit. We have no speed limit."
That's what happens when an unprepared, unread POTUS rushes into something he doesn't understand. Kinda sounds like everything else in this administration.
Now it's all up to SK Prez Moon. Can he actually get nuke & missile caps w/out giving away too much? That is the big question. We're 7 mos into this detente & we still have no idea, which doesn't bode well, as NK notoriously strings out negotiations.
